Run hills by effort, not by the watch
On hilly courses a fixed pace target is meaningless: holding 5:00/km up a 10% climb is a completely different effort than holding it on the flat. This tool converts your flat-ground pace into the equivalent pace for any gradient, so you keep a steady metabolic effort over rolling terrain — slowing the right amount uphill and, on moderate descents, speeding up to take advantage of gravity.
How it works
The energy cost of running depends strongly on gradient. Minetti et al. (2002) fitted the cost, in joules per kilogram per metre, as a polynomial in the fractional grade i:
C(i) = 155.4*i^5 - 30.4*i^4 - 43.3*i^3 + 46.3*i^2 + 19.5*i + 3.6
On the flat (i = 0) the cost is 3.6 J/kg/m. At a fixed metabolic effort, sustainable speed is inversely proportional to cost, so the equivalent pace on a grade is your flat pace scaled by the cost ratio:
pace_hill = pace_flat * C(i) / C(0)
A positive grade raises the cost and slows you; a moderate negative grade lowers it and speeds you up.
Example and notes
For a flat target of 5:00/km on an 8% climb, the cost ratio pushes your equivalent pace well past 6:00/km — that slower number represents the same effort, not a loss of fitness. Conversely, on a gentle downhill the tool returns a faster pace, reflecting the energy gravity gives back. The cheapest running of all sits around a 10 to 15% downhill, where the curve dips below flat before steeper descents drive the cost up again through braking. Remember this captures only metabolic cost: long descents still batter your quadriceps through eccentric loading, so pace those by feel and build the specific durability through training.