Soft pity is a window before the hard guarantee where the per-pull rate climbs steeply each pull. It means most players hit the drop a little before the hard-pity number rather than exactly at it.

How is the probability calculated?

The tool walks pull by pull from your current pity. Each pull uses a rate that is the base before soft pity, a rising ramp during soft pity, and 1.0 at hard pity. The chance of the drop is one minus the product of every miss chance.

How many pulls until I am guaranteed?

The guarantee is the hard-pity number minus your current pity. If hard pity is 90 and your pity is 10, you are guaranteed within 80 more pulls, regardless of luck along the way.

Why does my chance jump near the end?

During soft pity the rate ramps from the base toward 100%, so each of the final pulls contributes far more probability than an early pull. That is why the curve is flat early and steep near the guarantee.

Do all gachas use these exact numbers?

No. Base rates and pity thresholds vary by game and banner. Enter the published values for your specific banner so the model matches the system you are actually pulling on.

Apex Legends Gacha Pity & Pull Calculator

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Gacha banners are not flat-rate lotteries. Most use a soft-pity ramp followed by a hard-pity guarantee, which means your real odds depend heavily on where your pity counter sits. This tool models that system pull by pull so you know your true chance and your guaranteed pull count.

How it works

Each pull’s rate depends on the running pity index. Before soft pity it is the flat base rate; during soft pity it ramps linearly toward 100%; at hard pity it is guaranteed:

rate(pity) = base                                   if pity < softPity
           = base + slope × (pity - soft + 1)       if soft <= pity < hard
           = 1.0                                     at the hard-pity pull
P(by end)  = 1 − ∏ (1 − rate_i) over your pulls

The slope is set so the rate climbs from the base at the soft-pity start to roughly 100% by hard pity. Pulls until guarantee is simply hardPity − currentPity.

Example and tips

With a 0.6% base, soft pity at 74, hard pity at 90, and a current pity of 10, twenty pulls land well inside the flat region so your odds stay low. Push your plan past pull 74 and the ramp does the heavy lifting. If you are saving for a specific banner unit, the guaranteed-pull figure is the budget that actually matters; treat the soft-pity probability as the bonus chance to finish early.