Not every Elden Ring affix roll is worth keeping, and chasing a marginally better one can cost dozens of attempts. This calculator scores any roll against its possible range and estimates how many tries it would take to match or beat it, so you know when to keep and when to reroll.
How it works
Roll quality is the rolled value’s position on the min-to-max range:
quality% = (rolled − min) / (max − min) × 100
share at-least = (max − rolled) / (max − min)
chance/attempt = appearChance × share at-least
expected tries = 1 / (chance/attempt)
A roll near the maximum scores close to 100 percent and leaves only a tiny share of the range that could beat it — which is exactly why the expected number of attempts to improve climbs so steeply for already-good rolls.
Example and tips
A roll of 28 on an affix that ranges 22–35 scores about 46 percent of perfect and sits 7 points below the maximum. If the affix appears on roughly half of attempts, expect a couple of attempts to match or beat it. Once a roll is above ~90 percent of perfect, the math says to stop — the remaining gain rarely justifies the grind.